OPEC reduced its estimate for the amount of crude the world needs it to pump this year as U.S. production continues to thrive and the demand outlook falters.

Propelled by the shale-oil boom, the U.S. is already producing more crude than either Russia or Saudi Arabia, who until recently vied for the top spot. By midyear America will go one better.

Oil extended its longest run of daily gains in 17 months on renewed efforts by the U.S. and China to reach a trade deal, and expectations the market will be tightened by OPEC’s output cuts.

Oil headed for its longest stretch of daily gains in more than 17 months as the U.S. Federal Reserve sought to ease investor concerns, China moved to stimulate its economy and OPEC production cutbacks took effect.

Oil started 2019 with another price slide as weaker Chinese manufacturing data pointed to slowing demand in the world’s second-biggest consumer of the fuel and to growing risks of a global crude surplus.

Oil extended an advance after a U.S. industry report signaled a bigger-than-expected draw in nationwide crude inventories and as trade tensions eased between the world’s largest economies.

Oil traded near a six-month low as the prospects of a tight global market at the end of the year further receded after the U.S. softened the restart of sanctions against Iran.

OPEC expects supplies from its rivals to increase by the most in five years in 2019, with extra oil from the United States alone sufficient to meet the growth in global demand.

Oil climbed to the highest level in more than two years on estimates that U.S. crude stockpiles fell for a seventh week, while unrest continued in OPEC’s third-biggest producer.

Oil traded near $57 a barrel for a third day before data expected to show that surplus crude inventories in the U.S. continued to diminish as global markets rebalance.